Explosive Population Growth In Our Future?

Much has been said about population growth in South Davis County and in the transit study area. Some have suggested that a rail system is necessary to keep up with population increases in the future. The Environmental Study Report provides us "future population" (ESR, p. 1-6) figures for our South Davis County communities.

The overall study area is projected to grow in population of 175,600 in 2005 to 252,000 in 2030. That represents 44% growth. I was particularly intrigued by the forecast for Centerville and Bountiful. Bountiful had a population 42,700 in 2005 and can anticipate 44,400 in 2030. That is growth of 3%. Centerville had a population of 16,200 in 2005 and can anticipate 17,500 in 2030. That is growth of 8%.

"The greatest population change is expected in North Salt Lake (85%). Between 2005 and 2030, the population of the portion of Salt Lake City that is within the study area is projected to increase by 67% as a result of planned high-density housing in the CBD, including the Gateway and City Creek developments" (ESR, p. 1-6).

I realize that I am not an expert in population growth patterns, but I'm thinking that we will be able to keep up with those growth estimates and the associated transportation needs in Centerville and Bountiful without a rail system on our Main Street. Look at the numbers and you decide.